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OK0NAG > SOLAR    21.03.10 00:04l 215 Lines 6517 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 20 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 079 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  19/2100Z

to 20/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1054 (N16W82) has

decayed to an Axx Alpha spot and has been quiet. Region 1056

(N18E07) remains stable and quiet as a Bxo Beta region. A fast

moving CME that overtook the CME from 19 March is visible off the

west limb on LASCO C3.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

very low for the next 3 days (21-23 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with a brief period of

unsettled to active conditions (03-09Z) due to extended Bz south and

slightly elevated solar wind speeds near 420km/s.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain quiet with brief periods of unsettled conditions

over the next 3 days (21-23 March).

III.  Event Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           20 Mar 084

Predicted   21 Mar-23 Mar  084/084/084

90 Day Mean        20 Mar 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 19 Mar  002/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Mar  007/006

Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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