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OK0NAG > SOLAR    04.04.10 00:06l 223 Lines 6754 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Apr 03 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 093 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Apr 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z

to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1059 (S22W15)

produced a long-duration B7 x-ray event at 0954Z which was

associated with a halo CME. The CME plane-of-sky speed was estimated

to be about 500 km/s. Regions 1059 and 1057 (N16W72) were generally

unchanged during the past 24 hours.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low for the next three days (4-6 April). There is however, a slight

chance for an isolated C-class event.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24

hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet for the next two days (4-5 April). An increase

to quiet to unsettled with a chance for an active period is expected

late on the third day (6 April) due to possible effects from a

favorably positioned coronal hole.

III.  Event Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           03 Apr 077

Predicted   04 Apr-06 Apr  078/080/080

90 Day Mean        03 Apr 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 02 Apr  010/012

Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Apr  005/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr  005/005-005/005-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/25

Minor storm           01/01/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/30

Minor storm           01/01/15

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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