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OK0NAG > SOLAR    28.10.10 00:04l 208 Lines 6244 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 27 Oct 2010 22:04:19 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 27 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 300 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  26/2100Z

to 27/2100Z:  Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1117 (N22W28)

produced a C1.2/Sf at 27/1703Z. The remaining regions were quiet and

unchanged.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low with a slight chance for an M-class event from Region

1117.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet on day one (28 October). Quiet to unsettled

levels, with isolated active periods, are expected on days two and

three (29-30 October) in response to the CME observed on 26 October.

III.  Event Probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           27 Oct 088

Predicted   28 Oct-30 Oct  084/084/084

90 Day Mean        27 Oct 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 26 Oct  006/008

Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Oct  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Oct-30 Oct  005/005-008/008-008/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/15/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/20/20

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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