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OK0NAG > SOLAR    05.03.10 00:08l 227 Lines 6856 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 4 Mar 2010 22:04:37 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 04 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z

to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Today's activity consisted of a

C2 x-ray event at 1611Z from Region 1052 (S17W70), as well as

numerous B-class events. Regions 1052 and 1053 (S22W77) showed slow

growth during the past 24 hours and exhibited slightly elevated

levels of activity. An overall increasing trend was noted in the

x-ray background levels.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low. There is a chance for isolated C-class events during the

next three days (05-07 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.

Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed a small

increase in speed with values ranging between 440-460 km/s at the

end of the reporting period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (05-07

March).

III.  Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           04 Mar 081

Predicted   05 Mar-07 Mar  082/082/082

90 Day Mean        04 Mar 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar  005/006

Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar  006/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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