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OK0NAG > SOLAR    07.03.10 00:05l 207 Lines 6258 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 6 Mar 2010 22:01:20 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 06 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z

to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class

events were observed during the period. A filament near N17E23

disappeared between 06/0521Z and 06/0656Z. A CME was observed on the

east limb at approximately 06/0703Z.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low for the next three days (07 - 09 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet on day one (07 March). Quiet to unsettled

levels are expected on days two and three (08 - 09 March) in

response to the CME observed on 06 March.

III.  Event Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           06 Mar 078

Predicted   07 Mar-09 Mar  080/080/080

90 Day Mean        06 Mar 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar  001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  005/005-007/008-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/15/15

Minor storm           01/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/20/20

Minor storm           01/10/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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