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OK0NAG > SOLAR    08.03.10 00:05l 211 Lines 6398 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 7 Mar 2010 22:01:25 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 07 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 066 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z

to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class

flares were observed during the period.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low for the next three days (08 - 10 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. A

single period of unsettled conditions was observed at mid-latitudes

between 07/0600Z and 07/0900Z.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (08

- 09 March) in response to the CME observed on 06 March. Geomagnetic

field activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on day three

(10 March) as the CME effects subside.

III.  Event Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           07 Mar 077

Predicted   08 Mar-10 Mar  080/080/080

90 Day Mean        07 Mar 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 06 Mar  003/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Mar  006/007

Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  007/008-007/008-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/15/10

Minor storm           05/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/20/15

Minor storm           10/10/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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