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OK0NAG > SOLAR    19.03.10 00:03l 209 Lines 6293 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 18 Mar 2010 22:02:33 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 18 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 077 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z

to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Regions 1054 (N16W53) and

1056 (N18E34) remain stable and quiet. Both remain at a Beta

magnetic classification and have produced only low level B-class

flares.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

at very low levels with only a slight chance for a C-class flare

during the next 3 days (19-21 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with a brief period of

unsettled conditions between 03-06Z. Solar wind speeds have

decreased to around 400km/s.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain quiet for the next 3 days (19-21 March).

III.  Event Probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           18 Mar 086

Predicted   19 Mar-21 Mar  085/085/085

90 Day Mean        18 Mar 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 17 Mar  005/007

Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Mar  006/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/10/10

Minor storm           05/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/15/15

Minor storm           10/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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