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OK0NAG > SOLAR    24.03.10 00:03l 218 Lines 6678 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 23 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 082 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z

to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past

24 hours. Region 1057 (N16E73), which was numbered today, produced

two B-class flares, the largest being a B5 long duration flare at

23/1921Z. Region 1056 (N18W34) continued to gradually decay and

simplify.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low levels for the next three days (24-26 March). There is a

slight chance for C-class flares from Region 1057.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet levels on day one (24 March) and at quiet to

unsettled levels on days two and three (25-26 March) due to the

arrival of a weak coronal hole high-speed stream.

III.  Event Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           23 Mar 084

Predicted   24 Mar-26 Mar  084/085/085

90 Day Mean        23 Mar 082

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 22 Mar  000/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Mar  002/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/10/10

Minor storm           01/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/10/10

Minor storm           01/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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