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OK0NAG > SOLAR    25.03.10 00:02l 228 Lines 7111 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 24 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 083 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z

to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels for the past 24

hours. Region 1057 (N17E57) has showed steady growth throughout the

day and is classified as a D type group. The total sunspot area 

increased to about 240 millionths in size near the end of the

period. Region 1057 (N17W50) decayed to spotless plage. No new

regions were numbered today.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low to low levels with C-flares likely from Region 1057.  There

is a slight chance for M-class events also from Region 1057.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days

(25-26 March) due to the arrival of a weak coronal hole high-speed

stream. The geomagnetic field is expected to return to quiet levels

on day three (27 March) as the effects of the coronal hole subside.

III.  Event Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           24 Mar 084

Predicted   25 Mar-27 Mar  085/085/085

90 Day Mean        24 Mar 082

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar  000/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Mar  004/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/05

Minor storm           05/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/05

Minor storm           05/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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