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OK0NAG > SOLAR    27.03.10 00:05l 214 Lines 6623 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 26 Mar 2010 22:04:08 +0000
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 26 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 085 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z

to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1057 (N15E30) has

grown in size and increased in classification to a Dki Beta. New

Region 1058 (N25W21) remains stable and quiet as a Axx Alpha spot. A

filament was observed lifting off the SW quadrant of the disk around

26/07Z. An associated weak limb event CME is visible on LASCO C3

coronagraph imagery.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low

with C-class flares likely, and a slight chance for an M-class flare

over the next three days (27-29 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of an

isolated active period over the next 3 days (27-29 March).

III.  Event Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar

Class M    15/15/15

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           26 Mar 086

Predicted   27 Mar-29 Mar 085/085/085

90 Day Mean        26 Mar 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar  004/005

Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar  004/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar  005/007-007/008-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/20/20

Minor storm           05/10/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/25/25

Minor storm           10/15/15

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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