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OK0NAG > SOLAR    29.03.10 00:04l 215 Lines 6556 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 28 Mar 2010 22:02:57 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 28 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 087 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  27/2100Z

to 28/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15E04)

remained at a Beta magnetic classification while growing in size.

Region 1059 (S22E61), now a Hax Alpha spot has increased in size as

well.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low

with C-class flares expected and a slight chance for a M-class flare

over the next 3 days (29-31 March).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet with an isolated period of unsettled

to active conditions between 03-06Z.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain mostly quiet for day 1 (29 March), with brief

periods of unsettled to active conditions possible days 2-3 (30-31

March) due to brief periods of Bz south with slightly elevated solar

wind speeds.

III.  Event Probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar

Class M    20/20/20

Class X    05/05/05

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           28 Mar 086

Predicted   29 Mar-31 Mar  088/088/088

90 Day Mean        28 Mar 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 27 Mar  001/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Mar  005/007

Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Mar-31 Mar  005/007-007/007-007/007

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                20/25/25

Minor storm           05/10/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                30/40/40

Minor storm           10/15/15

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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