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OK0NAG > SOLAR    31.03.10 00:02l 219 Lines 6607 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 30 Mar 2010 22:01:52 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Mar 30 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 089 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z

to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1057 (N15W22) has

shown a slight decay and remains a Beta magnetic configuration. 

Region 1059 (S23E36) has shown little change and is a H-type spot

group.  The SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery observed a CME today off the

northwest and southeast limbs.  An analysis of the activity indicate

the source is likely a backside event and not expected to be

geoeffective.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low with a chance for an isolated C-class event.  There is a

slight chance for a M-class event from Region 1057.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (31 March

- 02 April).

III.  Event Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           30 Mar 083

Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr  082/082/082

90 Day Mean        30 Mar 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  005/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Mar  003/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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