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OK0NAG > SOLAR    02.04.10 00:06l 213 Lines 6423 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 1 Apr 2010 22:05:05 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Apr 01 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 091 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z

to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Region 1057 (N15W45)

continues a slow decay.  Region 1059 (S22E10) remains stable.  An

eleven degree filament disappeared near N26W31, between

01/0030-1355Z. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active conditions.  The

ACE spacecraft indicated the signature of a weak coronal hole high

speed stream.  Solar wind speed averaged approximately 410 km/s with

IMF Bz ranging between -7/+8 nT.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (02-05

April).

III.  Event Probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           01 Apr 079

Predicted   02 Apr-04 Apr  079/075/075

90 Day Mean        01 Apr 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar  005/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Apr  008/012

Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                01/01/01

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                01/01/01

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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