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OK0NAG > SOLAR    03.04.10 00:03l 223 Lines 6763 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 2 Apr 2010 22:01:44 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Apr 02 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 092 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Apr 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z

to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1057 (N16W59) and

Region 1059 (S23W03) both remain stable and quiet.  No flares were

observed during the past 24 hours.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  The ACE spacecraft

indicated a shock around 02/0635Z.  Solar wind speed increased from

around 435 km/s to 540 km/s, density increased, and the IMF

sustained several hours of southward Bz.  The Boulder magnetometer

observed a 19 nT sudden impulse at 02/0721Z.  The exact source for

the activity is not known, however, it may have resulted from the

CME observed on 30 March.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominantly quiet with isolated periods of

unsettled conditions for the next three days (03-05 April).

III.  Event Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           02 Apr 076

Predicted   03 Apr-05 Apr  075/075/080

90 Day Mean        02 Apr 083

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 01 Apr  009/012

Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Apr  012/012

Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                01/01/01

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                01/01/01

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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