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OK0NAG > SOLAR    25.10.10 00:10l 222 Lines 6764 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 24 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 297 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z

to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1117 (N22E12)

produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours. New Region

1119 (N22W22) was numbered today.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low with a chance of C-class flares from Region 1117 or

Region 1115 (S29W52) on days 1-3 (25 - 27 October).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:

Geomagnetic activity was mostly unsettled to active due to the

effects of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind

speeds observed at the ACE spacecraft were at or above 600 km/s for

most of the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at mostly unsettled levels on days one and two (25 -

26 October) due to coronal hole effects. Day three (27 October) will

see quiet to unsettled levels as the coronal hole effects subside.

III.  Event Probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           24 Oct 082

Predicted   25 Oct-27 Oct  084/082/080

90 Day Mean        24 Oct 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 23 Oct  016/023

Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Oct  012/018

Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct  012/015-010/012-007/010

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                30/20/15

Minor storm           05/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                35/30/20

Minor storm           10/10/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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