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OK0NAG > SOLAR    26.10.10 00:00l 212 Lines 6420 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 25 Oct 2010 22:00:34 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 25 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z

to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1117 (N22W02)

produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low with a chance of C-class flares from region 1117 or

Region 1115 (S30W64).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind

speeds observed at the ACE spacecraft remained at or above 600 km/s

for most of the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (26 October) due to

coronal hole effects. Days two and three (27 - 28 October) should be

at mostly quiet levels as the coronal hole effects subside.

III.  Event Probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           25 Oct 086

Predicted   26 Oct-28 Oct  084/082/080

90 Day Mean        25 Oct 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 24 Oct  010/014

Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Oct  008/015

Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct  008/010-007/008-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                20/15/10

Minor storm           05/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                30/20/20

Minor storm           10/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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