OpenBCM V1.07b12 (Linux)

Packet Radio Mailbox

IZ3LSV

[San Dona' di P. JN65H]

 Login: GUEST





  
OK0NAG > SOLAR    30.10.10 00:01l 238 Lines 7298 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : TAKOK0NAG01A
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 101029/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye

X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 29 Oct 2010 22:01:50 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1288389467-0671b8e10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 29 Oct 2010 22:28:38.0140 (UTC) FILETIME=[A1BD0BC0:01CB77B8]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.455
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1288389467


----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 29 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z

to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1117

(N20W55) produced occasional B-class flares during the period. The

largest of these was a B4 flare at 29/1732Z. Region 1117 showed a

decrease in areal coverage and sunspot count. No new regions were

numbered during the period.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low to low levels, with a slight chance for an M-class event

from Region 1117.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV

electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the first day (30

October) due to a weak CME observed on 26 October. Activity is

expected to decrease to quiet levels on the second day (31 October).

Quiet to active levels are expected on the third day (01 November),

with a slight chance for a  minor storm period at high latitudes.

The increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole

high-speed stream.

III.  Event Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           29 Oct 086

Predicted   30 Oct-01 Nov  084/084/082

90 Day Mean        29 Oct 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct  002/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Oct  004/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov  007/007-005/005-010/010

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/01/25

Minor storm           01/01/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/01/30

Minor storm           01/01/15

Major-severe storm    01/01/05



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64

PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u

YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250

ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+

OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl

ZDogMjAxMCBPY3QgMjkgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T

LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u

IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl

cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMzAy

IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyOSBPY3QgMjAxMA0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh

ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMjgvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDI5LzIx

MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgcmVtYWluZWQgYXQgdmVyeSBsb3cgbGV2ZWxzLiBSZWdp

b24gMTExNw0KKE4yMFc1NSkgcHJvZHVjZWQgb2NjYXNpb25hbCBCLWNsYXNzIGZsYXJlcyBk

dXJpbmcgdGhlIHBlcmlvZC4gVGhlDQpsYXJnZXN0IG9mIHRoZXNlIHdhcyBhIEI0IGZsYXJl

IGF0IDI5LzE3MzJaLiBSZWdpb24gMTExNyBzaG93ZWQgYQ0KZGVjcmVhc2UgaW4gYXJlYWwg

Y292ZXJhZ2UgYW5kIHN1bnNwb3QgY291bnQuIE5vIG5ldyByZWdpb25zIHdlcmUNCm51bWJl

cmVkIGR1cmluZyB0aGUgcGVyaW9kLg0KSUIuICBTb2xhciBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDog

IFNvbGFyIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIGF0DQp2ZXJ5IGxvdyB0byBsb3cg

bGV2ZWxzLCB3aXRoIGEgc2xpZ2h0IGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgYW4gTS1jbGFzcyBldmVudA0KZnJv

bSBSZWdpb24gMTExNy4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IFN1bW1hcnkgMjgv

MjEwMFogdG8gMjkvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgd2FzIGF0IHF1aWV0

IGxldmVscy4gVGhlIGdyZWF0ZXIgdGhhbiAyIE1lVg0KZWxlY3Ryb24gZmx1eCBhdCBnZW9z

eW5jaHJvbm91cyBvcmJpdCByZWFjaGVkIGhpZ2ggbGV2ZWxzLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2lj

YWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaXMNCmV4cGVj

dGVkIHRvIGJlIGF0IHF1aWV0IHRvIHVuc2V0dGxlZCBsZXZlbHMgZm9yIHRoZSBmaXJzdCBk

YXkgKDMwDQpPY3RvYmVyKSBkdWUgdG8gYSB3ZWFrIENNRSBvYnNlcnZlZCBvbiAyNiBPY3Rv

YmVyLiBBY3Rpdml0eSBpcw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gZGVjcmVhc2UgdG8gcXVpZXQgbGV2ZWxz

IG9uIHRoZSBzZWNvbmQgZGF5ICgzMSBPY3RvYmVyKS4NClF1aWV0IHRvIGFjdGl2ZSBsZXZl

bHMgYXJlIGV4cGVjdGVkIG9uIHRoZSB0aGlyZCBkYXkgKDAxIE5vdmVtYmVyKSwNCndpdGgg

YSBzbGlnaHQgY2hhbmNlIGZvciBhICBtaW5vciBzdG9ybSBwZXJpb2QgYXQgaGlnaCBsYXRp

dHVkZXMuDQpUaGUgaW5jcmVhc2UgaW4gYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgZHVlIHRvIGEg

cmVjdXJyZW50IGNvcm9uYWwgaG9sZQ0KaGlnaC1zcGVlZCBzdHJlYW0uDQpJSUkuICBFdmVu

dCBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDMwIE9jdC0wMSBOb3YNCkNsYXNzIE0gICAgMTAvMTAvMTANCkNs

YXNzIFggICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClByb3RvbiAgICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClBDQUYgICAgICAgR3Jl

ZW4NCklWLiAgUGVudGljdG9uIDEwLjcgY20gRmx1eA0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgICAgICAgICAgIDI5

IE9jdCAwODYNClByZWRpY3RlZCAgIDMwIE9jdC0wMSBOb3YgIDA4NC8wODQvMDgyDQo5MCBE

YXkgTWVhbiAgICAgICAgMjkgT2N0IDA4MQ0KVi4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEEgSW5kaWNlcw0K

T2JzZXJ2ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDI4IE9jdCAgMDAyLzAwMw0KRXN0aW1hdGVkIEFmci9BcCAyOSBP

Y3QgIDAwNC8wMDUNClByZWRpY3RlZCBBZnIvQXAgMzAgT2N0LTAxIE5vdiAgMDA3LzAwNy0w

MDUvMDA1LTAxMC8wMTANClZJLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQWN0aXZpdHkgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGll

cyAzMCBPY3QtMDEgTm92DQpBLiAgTWlkZGxlIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0aXZlICAgICAgICAg

ICAgICAgIDA1LzAxLzI1DQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMDEvMDEvMTANCk1ham9y

LXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KQi4gIEhpZ2ggTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUg

ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMDUvMDEvMzANCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAwMS8wMS8x

NQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzA1DQo8L1BSRT48QlI+PEhSPlRoYW5r

IHlvdSBmb3IgdXNpbmcgdGhlIFByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIFNlcnZpY2UuIElmIHlv

dSB3b3VsZCBsaWtlIHRvIHJlbW92ZSBhIHByb2R1Y3Qgc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIG9yIHVwZGF0

ZSB0aGUgcGVyc29uYWwgaW5mb3JtYXRpb24gaW4geW91ciBhY2NvdW50LCBnbyB0byB0aGUg

PGEgaHJlZj0iaHR0cHM6Ly9wc3Muc3dwYy5ub2FhLmdvdiI+UHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRp

b24gU2l0ZS48L2E+IFBsZWFzZSBkbyBub3QgdXNlIHRoZSBmcm9tIGFkZHJlc3MgZm9yIGNv

cnJlc3BvbmRlbmNlLCBhcyBpdCBpcyBub3QgbW9uaXRvcmVkLiBGb3IgY29tbWVudHMgb3Ig

aGVscCwgcGxlYXNlIGNvbnRhY3QgPGEgaHJlZj0ibWFpbHRvOnBzcy5oZWxwQG5vYWEuZ292

Ij5TV1BDIEhlbHAuPC9hPjwvQk9EWT48L0hUTUw+
----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f--






Read previous mail | Read next mail


 16.10.2019 21:55:11lGo back Go up