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OK0NAG > SOLAR    31.10.10 15:21l 114 Lines 3832 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sun, 31 Oct 2010 13:19:36 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Oct 31 1317 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU304
UGEOA 30512 01031 1304/ 9930/
11312 20312 30312
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 31 Oct 2010 until 02 Nov 
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Oct 2010  10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Nov 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Nov 2010  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1117 has produced two C-class falres, a C1.8 at 03:18

UT and a C5.7 at 05:31 UT. This region will rotate behind the west solar

limb in the next 24 hours but it can still produce more C and even
M-class flares. A new region NOAA AR 1120, with Beta magnetic
configuration, is rotating into the visible solar disk. There was a west

directed CME at 00:12 UT which is not expected to be geoeffective.
Aditionally, there are signs of a CME in STEREO-A COR2 beacon data which

may be Earth directed, around 03:00 UT on October 30. Since SOHO and SDO

show a data gap lasting several hours around this period, it is
impossible to confirm this for the moment. Geomagnetic conditions are
quiet, the CME from October 26 seems to have arrived to the Earth with 
a
weak imprint in plasma and magnetic field signatures. Nevertheless the

interplanetary magnetic field is elevated for the moment (around 10nT)

but northward directed, active conditions may occur if the field turns

south.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 024, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01031 1304/ 30///
10048 20850 3002/ 4//// 80103 90230
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 01031 1304/ 30/08 31103
10054 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 45923 16200
10056 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50200 60013 45820 16200
10058 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 17537 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 30080 03232 84046 46221 44510 86003 17738 0/102 
USSPS 21305 30175 03042 93050 46918 41407 97002 17341 0/203 
USSPS 81202 31033 03122 93081 47023 44408 97006 16537 0/103 
UMAGF 30503 01031 0955/ 30063 1/006 21211 31001 
UMAGF 31523 01031 ///// 3000/ 1/002 20002 31201 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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