OpenBCM V1.07b12 (Linux)

Packet Radio Mailbox

IZ3LSV

[San Dona' di P. JN65H]

 Login: GUEST





  
OK0NAG > SOLAR    01.11.10 00:01l 246 Lines 7530 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : VAKOK0NAG00W
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 101031/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye

X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 31 Oct 2010 22:00:50 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1288562203-0671f38d0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 31 Oct 2010 22:27:40.0156 (UTC) FILETIME=[D400E3C0:01CB794A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.454
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1288562203


----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 31 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 304 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z

to 31/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1117 (N22W83) produced

two C-class events during the period. The largest of these was a C5

flare at 31/0431Z. Region 1120 (N40E53) showed an increase in areal

coverage and was classified as a Cro-beta spot group. No new regions

were numbered.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low for days one and two (01-02 November). Activity is

expected to decrease to very low levels on day three (03 November)

as Region 1117 rotates off the solar disk.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV

electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the

period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet to active levels, with a slight chance for a

minor storm period at high latitudes, on day one (01 November). The

increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole

high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to

unsettled levels, with active levels at high latitudes, on day two

(02 November). Predominantly quiet levels are expected on day three

(03 November).

III.  Event Probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov

Class M    15/15/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           31 Oct 081

Predicted   01 Nov-03 Nov  079/078/078

90 Day Mean        31 Oct 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 30 Oct  002/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Oct  005/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov  010/010-007/008-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                25/20/05

Minor storm           10/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                30/25/10

Minor storm           15/10/01

Major-severe storm    05/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64

PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u

YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250

ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+

OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl

ZDogMjAxMCBPY3QgMzEgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T

LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u

IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl

cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMzA0

IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAzMSBPY3QgMjAxMA0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh

ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMzAvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDMxLzIx

MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGxvdy4gUmVnaW9uIDExMTcgKE4yMlc4MykgcHJv

ZHVjZWQNCnR3byBDLWNsYXNzIGV2ZW50cyBkdXJpbmcgdGhlIHBlcmlvZC4gVGhlIGxhcmdl

c3Qgb2YgdGhlc2Ugd2FzIGEgQzUNCmZsYXJlIGF0IDMxLzA0MzFaLiBSZWdpb24gMTEyMCAo

TjQwRTUzKSBzaG93ZWQgYW4gaW5jcmVhc2UgaW4gYXJlYWwNCmNvdmVyYWdlIGFuZCB3YXMg

Y2xhc3NpZmllZCBhcyBhIENyby1iZXRhIHNwb3QgZ3JvdXAuIE5vIG5ldyByZWdpb25zDQp3

ZXJlIG51bWJlcmVkLg0KSUIuICBTb2xhciBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFNvbGFyIGFj

dGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIHZlcnkNCmxvdyB0byBsb3cgZm9yIGRheXMgb25l

IGFuZCB0d28gKDAxLTAyIE5vdmVtYmVyKS4gQWN0aXZpdHkgaXMNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGRl

Y3JlYXNlIHRvIHZlcnkgbG93IGxldmVscyBvbiBkYXkgdGhyZWUgKDAzIE5vdmVtYmVyKQ0K

YXMgUmVnaW9uIDExMTcgcm90YXRlcyBvZmYgdGhlIHNvbGFyIGRpc2suDQpJSUEuICBHZW9w

aHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBTdW1tYXJ5IDMwLzIxMDBaIHRvIDMxLzIxMDBaOg0KVGhlIGdl

b21hZ25ldGljIGZpZWxkIHdhcyBhdCBxdWlldCBsZXZlbHMuIFRoZSBncmVhdGVyIHRoYW4g

MiBNZVYNCmVsZWN0cm9uIGZsdXggYXQgZ2Vvc3luY2hyb25vdXMgb3JiaXQgcmVhY2hlZCBo

aWdoIGxldmVscyBkdXJpbmcgdGhlDQpwZXJpb2QuDQpJSUIuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rp

dml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBpcw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8g

YmUgYXQgcXVpZXQgdG8gYWN0aXZlIGxldmVscywgd2l0aCBhIHNsaWdodCBjaGFuY2UgZm9y

IGENCm1pbm9yIHN0b3JtIHBlcmlvZCBhdCBoaWdoIGxhdGl0dWRlcywgb24gZGF5IG9uZSAo

MDEgTm92ZW1iZXIpLiBUaGUNCmluY3JlYXNlIGluIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIGR1

ZSB0byBhIHJlY3VycmVudCBjb3JvbmFsIGhvbGUNCmhpZ2gtc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtLiBBY3Rp

dml0eSBpcyBleHBlY3RlZCB0byBkZWNyZWFzZSB0byBxdWlldCB0bw0KdW5zZXR0bGVkIGxl

dmVscywgd2l0aCBhY3RpdmUgbGV2ZWxzIGF0IGhpZ2ggbGF0aXR1ZGVzLCBvbiBkYXkgdHdv

DQooMDIgTm92ZW1iZXIpLiBQcmVkb21pbmFudGx5IHF1aWV0IGxldmVscyBhcmUgZXhwZWN0

ZWQgb24gZGF5IHRocmVlDQooMDMgTm92ZW1iZXIpLg0KSUlJLiAgRXZlbnQgUHJvYmFiaWxp

dGllcyAwMSBOb3YtMDMgTm92DQpDbGFzcyBNICAgIDE1LzE1LzAxDQpDbGFzcyBYICAgIDAx

LzAxLzAxDQpQcm90b24gICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQQ0FGICAgICAgIEdyZWVuDQpJVi4gIFBl

bnRpY3RvbiAxMC43IGNtIEZsdXgNCk9ic2VydmVkICAgICAgICAgICAzMSBPY3QgMDgxDQpQ

cmVkaWN0ZWQgICAwMSBOb3YtMDMgTm92ICAwNzkvMDc4LzA3OA0KOTAgRGF5IE1lYW4gICAg

ICAgIDMxIE9jdCAwODENClYuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBIEluZGljZXMNCk9ic2VydmVkIEFm

ci9BcCAzMCBPY3QgIDAwMi8wMDINCkVzdGltYXRlZCBBZnIvQXAgMzEgT2N0ICAwMDUvMDA4

DQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDAxIE5vdi0wMyBOb3YgIDAxMC8wMTAtMDA3LzAwOC0wMDUv

MDA1DQpWSS4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEFjdGl2aXR5IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMDEgTm92LTAz

IE5vdg0KQS4gIE1pZGRsZSBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAyNS8y

MC8wNQ0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDEwLzA1LzAxDQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rv

cm0gICAgMDEvMDEvMDENCkIuICBIaWdoIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0aXZlICAgICAgICAgICAg

ICAgIDMwLzI1LzEwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMTUvMTAvMDENCk1ham9yLXNl

dmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwNS8wMS8wMQ0KPC9QUkU+PEJSPjxIUj5UaGFuayB5b3UgZm9yIHVz

aW5nIHRoZSBQcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTZXJ2aWNlLiBJZiB5b3Ugd291bGQgbGlr

ZSB0byByZW1vdmUgYSBwcm9kdWN0IHN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBvciB1cGRhdGUgdGhlIHBlcnNv

bmFsIGluZm9ybWF0aW9uIGluIHlvdXIgYWNjb3VudCwgZ28gdG8gdGhlIDxhIGhyZWY9Imh0

dHBzOi8vcHNzLnN3cGMubm9hYS5nb3YiPlByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIFNpdGUuPC9h

PiBQbGVhc2UgZG8gbm90IHVzZSB0aGUgZnJvbSBhZGRyZXNzIGZvciBjb3JyZXNwb25kZW5j

ZSwgYXMgaXQgaXMgbm90IG1vbml0b3JlZC4gRm9yIGNvbW1lbnRzIG9yIGhlbHAsIHBsZWFz

ZSBjb250YWN0IDxhIGhyZWY9Im1haWx0bzpwc3MuaGVscEBub2FhLmdvdiI+U1dQQyBIZWxw

LjwvYT48L0JPRFk+PC9IVE1MPg=----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2--







Read previous mail | Read next mail


 23.07.2019 11:51:55lGo back Go up