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OK0NAG > SOLAR    02.11.10 00:03l 216 Lines 6492 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 1 Nov 2010 22:02:49 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 01 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z

to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  A C1 flare was observed at

01/0443Z from Region 1117 (N22, L=063) as it rotated around the west

limb. Region 1120 (N39E41) has been quiet.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low on day one (02 November). Very low conditions are

expected on days two and three (03 - 04 November) as Region 1117

rotates off the solar disk.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with a slight chance

for active conditions during the next three days (02 - 04 November).

The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole

high-speed stream.

III.  Event Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov

Class M    15/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           01 Nov 079

Predicted   02 Nov-04 Nov  078/078/078

90 Day Mean        01 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct  004/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov  007/010

Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov  007/008-005/005-007/007

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/10/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/10/20

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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