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OK0NAG > SOLAR    04.11.10 00:01l 212 Lines 6415 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 03 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z

to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Old region 1112 (S19, L=208)

produced two C-class flares, the largest a C4.9 observed at

03/1221Z. A Type II radio sweep, with an estimated velocity of 837

km/s, and an east limb CME were associated with this event. Region

1120 (N39E17) has shown slight decay during the period. A filament

disappeared at 02/2337Z near S64E31.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low

with a slight chance for M-class events for the next three days

(04-06 November).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06

November).

III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov

Class M    15/15/15

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           03 Nov 079

Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  082/082/082

90 Day Mean        03 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  007/007-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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