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OK0NAG > SOLAR    07.11.10 00:02l 226 Lines 6890 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 6 Nov 2010 22:01:37 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 06 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z

to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was at high levels. Region 1121 (S18W48)

produced an M5/1N flare at 06/1536Z. Associated with this event were

discrete radio emissions ranging from 4,995 MHz - 15,400 MHz, as

well as a 100 sfu Tenflare observed at 06/1534Z. Region 1121 was

classified as an Eai spot group with a beta magnetic classification.

Region 1120 (N41W13) continued to decay. New Region 1122 (N13W02)

was classified as a Cso spot group with a beta magnetic

classification.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

low to moderate levels.  M-class flares are expected.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet levels on day one (07 November). Quiet to

unsettled levels, with isolated active levels at high latitudes, are

expected on days two and three (08-09 November).

III.  Event Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov

Class M    85/85/85

Class X    20/20/20

Proton     05/05/05

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           06 Nov 089

Predicted   07 Nov-09 Nov  090/090/090

90 Day Mean        06 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov  002/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov  001/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  005/005-007/008-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/15/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/20/15

Minor storm           01/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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