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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.11.10 00:03l 216 Lines 6515 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 8 Nov 2010 22:02:11 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 08 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z

to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1121

(S19E20) produced two B1 flares during the period. Region 1121

decreased in areal coverage and was classified as an Ero spot group

with 12 spots and a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 1122

(N13W31) showed an increase in areal coverage and was classified as

a Dro-beta spot group.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low, with a chance for an M-class flare from Region 1121.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with an isolated active

period at high latitudes.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days

(09-11 November).

III.  Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov

Class M    50/50/50

Class X    05/05/05

Proton     05/05/05

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           08 Nov 084

Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  085/085/087

90 Day Mean        08 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  001/001

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov  006/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  005/006-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/10/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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