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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.11.10 23:05l 228 Lines 6953 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 9 Nov 2010 22:05:03 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 09 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 313 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z

to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past

24 hours. Region 1121 (S19E07) has showed some decay throughout the

period while remaining stable and quiet. Region 1121 did however,

produce a B3 X-ray flare at 09/1400Z. Region 1122 (N14W43) has also

remained stable and quiet. No new regions were numbered today.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low to low levels for the next three days (10-12 November).

There is a slight chance for an M-class event as Region 1121

progresses across the sun.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24

hours.  Solar wind speeds measured by the ACE spacecraft decreased

from 370 - 310 km/s as the effects from a small coronal hole

high-speed stream wane.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (10-12

November).

III.  Event Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           09 Nov 084

Predicted   10 Nov-12 Nov  084/084/084

90 Day Mean        09 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 08 Nov  002/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Nov  002/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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