OpenBCM V1.07b12 (Linux)

Packet Radio Mailbox

IZ3LSV

[San Dona' di P. JN65H]

 Login: GUEST





  
OK0NAG > SOLAR    16.11.10 00:05l 226 Lines 6933 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : FBKOK0NAG00W
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 101115/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye

X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 15 Nov 2010 22:04:53 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1289858451-167b11500001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 Nov 2010 22:32:03.0406 (UTC) FILETIME=[ED1BE6E0:01CB8514]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.439
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1289858451


----boundary_364372_d93dbeca-d6f8-4c49-8391-e678d47ce748
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 15 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z

to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1124 (N14W30) produced a

C2/Sf event at 15/0728Z.  This region has grown in area and number

of spots throughout the period.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is forecast to be low

with C-class flares likely for the next 3 days (16-18 November).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with isolated periods of

unsettled conditions at mid and high latitudes. The greater than 2

MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during

the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly unsettled to active with a slight chance for

an isolated period of minor storming over the next 3 days (16-18

November). This activity is forecast because of elevated solar wind

speeds near 650 km/s and intermittent periods of southward Bz, as

well as a possible glancing blow from the CME on 13 November.

III.  Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           15 Nov 091

Predicted   16 Nov-18 Nov  090/090/090

90 Day Mean        15 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov  005/007

Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov  006/009

Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov  012/012-012/012-012/012

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                40/40/40

Minor storm           20/20/20

Major-severe storm    05/05/05

B.  High Latitudes

Active                50/50/50

Minor storm           30/30/30

Major-severe storm    05/05/05



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_364372_d93dbeca-d6f8-4c49-8391-e678d47ce748
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64

PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u

YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250

ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+

OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl

ZDogMjAxMCBOb3YgMTUgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T

LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u

IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl

cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMzE5

IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAxNSBOb3YgMjAxMA0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh

ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMTQvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDE1LzIx

MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGxvdy4gUmVnaW9uIDExMjQgKE4xNFczMCkgcHJv

ZHVjZWQgYQ0KQzIvU2YgZXZlbnQgYXQgMTUvMDcyOFouICBUaGlzIHJlZ2lvbiBoYXMgZ3Jv

d24gaW4gYXJlYSBhbmQgbnVtYmVyDQpvZiBzcG90cyB0aHJvdWdob3V0IHRoZSBwZXJpb2Qu

DQpJQi4gIFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZm9y

ZWNhc3QgdG8gYmUgbG93DQp3aXRoIEMtY2xhc3MgZmxhcmVzIGxpa2VseSBmb3IgdGhlIG5l

eHQgMyBkYXlzICgxNi0xOCBOb3ZlbWJlcikuDQpJSUEuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0

eSBTdW1tYXJ5IDE0LzIxMDBaIHRvIDE1LzIxMDBaOg0KVGhlIGdlb21hZ25ldGljIGZpZWxk

IHdhcyBtb3N0bHkgcXVpZXQgd2l0aCBpc29sYXRlZCBwZXJpb2RzIG9mDQp1bnNldHRsZWQg

Y29uZGl0aW9ucyBhdCBtaWQgYW5kIGhpZ2ggbGF0aXR1ZGVzLiBUaGUgZ3JlYXRlciB0aGFu

IDINCk1lViBlbGVjdHJvbiBmbHV4IGF0IGdlb3N5bmNocm9ub3VzIG9yYml0IHJlYWNoZWQg

aGlnaCBsZXZlbHMgZHVyaW5nDQp0aGUgcGVyaW9kLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0

aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaXMNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRv

IGJlIG1vc3RseSB1bnNldHRsZWQgdG8gYWN0aXZlIHdpdGggYSBzbGlnaHQgY2hhbmNlIGZv

cg0KYW4gaXNvbGF0ZWQgcGVyaW9kIG9mIG1pbm9yIHN0b3JtaW5nIG92ZXIgdGhlIG5leHQg

MyBkYXlzICgxNi0xOA0KTm92ZW1iZXIpLiBUaGlzIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGZvcmVjYXN0IGJl

Y2F1c2Ugb2YgZWxldmF0ZWQgc29sYXIgd2luZA0Kc3BlZWRzIG5lYXIgNjUwIGttL3MgYW5k

IGludGVybWl0dGVudCBwZXJpb2RzIG9mIHNvdXRod2FyZCBCeiwgYXMNCndlbGwgYXMgYSBw

b3NzaWJsZSBnbGFuY2luZyBibG93IGZyb20gdGhlIENNRSBvbiAxMyBOb3ZlbWJlci4NCklJ

SS4gIEV2ZW50IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMTYgTm92LTE4IE5vdg0KQ2xhc3MgTSAgICAxMC8x

MC8xMA0KQ2xhc3MgWCAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUHJvdG9uICAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUENBRiAg

ICAgICBHcmVlbg0KSVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBGbHV4DQpPYnNlcnZlZCAgICAg

ICAgICAgMTUgTm92IDA5MQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMTYgTm92LTE4IE5vdiAgMDkwLzA5MC8w

OTANCjkwIERheSBNZWFuICAgICAgICAxNSBOb3YgMDgxDQpWLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJ

bmRpY2VzDQpPYnNlcnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMTQgTm92ICAwMDUvMDA3DQpFc3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZy

L0FwIDE1IE5vdiAgMDA2LzAwOQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9BcCAxNiBOb3YtMTggTm92ICAw

MTIvMDEyLTAxMi8wMTItMDEyLzAxMg0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBY3Rpdml0eSBQcm9i

YWJpbGl0aWVzIDE2IE5vdi0xOCBOb3YNCkEuICBNaWRkbGUgTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUg

ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgNDAvNDAvNDANCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAyMC8yMC8y

MA0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDA1LzA1LzA1DQpCLiAgSGlnaCBMYXRpdHVkZXMN

CkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICA1MC81MC81MA0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAg

IDMwLzMwLzMwDQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDUvMDUvMDUNCjwvUFJFPjxCUj48

SFI+VGhhbmsgeW91IGZvciB1c2luZyB0aGUgUHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2Vydmlj

ZS4gSWYgeW91IHdvdWxkIGxpa2UgdG8gcmVtb3ZlIGEgcHJvZHVjdCBzdWJzY3JpcHRpb24g

b3IgdXBkYXRlIHRoZSBwZXJzb25hbCBpbmZvcm1hdGlvbiBpbiB5b3VyIGFjY291bnQsIGdv

IHRvIHRoZSA8YSBocmVmPSJodHRwczovL3Bzcy5zd3BjLm5vYWEuZ292Ij5Qcm9kdWN0IFN1

YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTaXRlLjwvYT4gUGxlYXNlIGRvIG5vdCB1c2UgdGhlIGZyb20gYWRkcmVz

cyBmb3IgY29ycmVzcG9uZGVuY2UsIGFzIGl0IGlzIG5vdCBtb25pdG9yZWQuIEZvciBjb21t

ZW50cyBvciBoZWxwLCBwbGVhc2UgY29udGFjdCA8YSBocmVmPSJtYWlsdG86cHNzLmhlbHBA

bm9hYS5nb3YiPlNXUEMgSGVscC48L2E+PC9CT0RZPjwvSFRNTD4----boundary_364372_d93dbeca-d6f8-4c49-8391-e678d47ce748--







Read previous mail | Read next mail


 15.10.2019 05:54:19lGo back Go up