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OK0NAG > SOLAR    19.11.10 00:03l 210 Lines 6232 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 18 Nov 2010 22:00:31 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 18 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 322 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z

to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Visible active regions

remained stable and quiet.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind  speed has increased to

about 550 km/s over the past 24 hours. Observations suggest that

this increase is in response to a high-speed stream associated with

coronal hole number 78 in the northwest hemisphere. The greater than

2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels

during the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly quiet.

III.  Event Probabilities 19 Nov-21 Nov

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           18 Nov 087

Predicted   19 Nov-21 Nov  086/084/084

90 Day Mean        18 Nov 081

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 17 Nov  003/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Nov  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Nov-21 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Nov-21 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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