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OK0NAG > SOLAR    26.11.10 00:03l 212 Lines 6392 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 25 Nov 2010 22:02:54 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 25 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 329 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z

to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low. New Region 1128

(S16E59) was numbered today.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind speed has remained

steady at approximately 450 km/s throughout the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet for days one and two (26-27 November). Day

three (28 November) is expected to be predominately quiet with a

slight chance for isolated unsettled periods. The increase in

activity is forecast due to the CME observed on 24 November becoming

geo-effective.

III.  Event Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           25 Nov 078

Predicted   26 Nov-28 Nov  078/079/080

90 Day Mean        25 Nov 082

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 24 Nov  003/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Nov  003/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov  005/005-005/005-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/15

Minor storm           05/05/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/15

Minor storm           05/05/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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