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OK0NAG > SOLAR    10.06.11 14:35l 120 Lines 4340 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jun 10 1231 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU161
UGEOA 30512 10610 1212/ 9930/
10102 20102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Jun 2011 until 12 Jun 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 013
COMMENT: A small shock passed the ACE satellite around 20:00UT, June
09. This was probably the glancing blow of the plasma cloud that left
the Sun on June 07. The geomagnetic response was limited at the
planetary level: the estimated Kp index was 3-2. Locally, the magnetic

field could be disturbed up to a local value of 4. Flaring activity is

quiet. The proton flux is still decreasing.
The total magnetic field went up to 14nT around 20:00UT, on June 09 in

the L1 point as measured by the satellite ACE. It stabilized again to
the value of 9nT. The Bz component is negative: -6nT. The SWANS Nowcast

tool for geomagnetic activity predicts a geomagnetic storm: k=>5 for the

coming hours. This sudden increase of the strength of the magnetic field

is possibly linked with the CME that left the Sun on June 07. The speed

of the solar wind is moderate: 400 km/s.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 022, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10610 1212/ 09///
10057 20880 3011/ 4//// 80105 90090
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 10610 1212/ 10/07 10104
10004 2//// 3//// 471// 50020 60002 43510 01000
10007 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 25417 02000
10008 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 42816 00000
10099 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 37817 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 09073 04432 95000 36720 0/101 96000 47018 0/101 01002 
42409 2/801 03001 26817 1/801 
USSPS 21305 09153 03442 09002 42808 3/801 10003 37121 0/101 11002 
26316 01202 
USSPS 81202 10012 03622 99003 37520 0/101 98002 43309 2/801 00003 
25717 01204 
USSPS 31405 10070 04842 04002 43510 1/902 07001 25417 01204 08001 
42816 0/101 99001 37817 0/101 
UMAGF 30503 10610 1004/ 09062 1/010 22111 32221 
UMAGF 31523 10610 ///// 0900/ 1/011 23322 32233 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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