OpenBCM V1.07b12 (Linux)

Packet Radio Mailbox

IZ3LSV

[San Dona' di P. JN65H]

 Login: GUEST





  
OK0NAG > SOLAR    13.06.11 00:05l 277 Lines 9127 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : C6LOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110612/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye

X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 12 Jun 2011 22:03:23 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1307915744-03b3480a1a4edbb0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 12 Jun 2011 22:03:30.0206 (UTC) FILETIME=[904C13E0:01CC294C]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.28
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.65976Rule breakdown below pts rule name              description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE           BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT       RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE      RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1307915744


----boundary_953622_349b7278-9eaa-49b1-8701-53204e49335e
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2011 Jun 12 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jun 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z

to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity remained very low. Isolated B-class

x-ray flares occurred. A B8 flare at 12/1714Z was from a region just

beyond the northeast limb. Region 1234 (S15E18) was the only spotted

region on the disk and remained a simply-structured Bxo group. A

prominence erupted from the west limb near N09W90 during 12/1341 -

1443Z and was associated with a CME. The CME had an estimated

plane-of-sky speed of 565 km/s and did not appear to be

Earth-directed. No new regions were numbered.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to very low

during the period (13 - 15 June) with a chance for an isolated

C-class flare.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:

Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to unsettled levels during most of

the period. An active period was observed at Boulder during 12/1200

- 1500Z. ACE solar wind data indicated the continued presence of a

coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) with wind speeds in the 436

to 485 km/s range. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at

geosynchronous orbit was slightly enhanced, likely associated with

recent activity in old Region 1226 (S20, L=037), which departed the

west limb on 09 June.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during  days 1 - 2 (13 -

14 June) with a chance for active levels due CH HSS effects.

Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on day 3 (15 June)

as the CH HSS begins to subside. There is a slight chance for a

greater than 10 MeV proton event at geosynchronous orbit on day 1

(13 June).

III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     10/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           12 Jun 085

Predicted   13 Jun-15 Jun  084/084/084

90 Day Mean        12 Jun 103

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jun  010/011

Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jun  010/010

Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun  008/008-008/008-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                20/15/05

Minor storm           10/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                25/20/10

Minor storm           15/10/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_953622_349b7278-9eaa-49b1-8701-53204e49335e
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64

PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u

YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250

ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+

OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl

ZDogMjAxMSBKdW4gMTIgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T

LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u

IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl

cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTYz

IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAxMiBKdW4gMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh

ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMTEvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDEyLzIx

MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgcmVtYWluZWQgdmVyeSBsb3cuIElzb2xhdGVkIEItY2xh

c3MNCngtcmF5IGZsYXJlcyBvY2N1cnJlZC4gQSBCOCBmbGFyZSBhdCAxMi8xNzE0WiB3YXMg

ZnJvbSBhIHJlZ2lvbiBqdXN0DQpiZXlvbmQgdGhlIG5vcnRoZWFzdCBsaW1iLiBSZWdpb24g

MTIzNCAoUzE1RTE4KSB3YXMgdGhlIG9ubHkgc3BvdHRlZA0KcmVnaW9uIG9uIHRoZSBkaXNr

IGFuZCByZW1haW5lZCBhIHNpbXBseS1zdHJ1Y3R1cmVkIEJ4byBncm91cC4gQQ0KcHJvbWlu

ZW5jZSBlcnVwdGVkIGZyb20gdGhlIHdlc3QgbGltYiBuZWFyIE4wOVc5MCBkdXJpbmcgMTIv

MTM0MSAtDQoxNDQzWiBhbmQgd2FzIGFzc29jaWF0ZWQgd2l0aCBhIENNRS4gVGhlIENNRSBo

YWQgYW4gZXN0aW1hdGVkDQpwbGFuZS1vZi1za3kgc3BlZWQgb2YgNTY1IGttL3MgYW5kIGRp

ZCBub3QgYXBwZWFyIHRvIGJlDQpFYXJ0aC1kaXJlY3RlZC4gTm8gbmV3IHJlZ2lvbnMgd2Vy

ZSBudW1iZXJlZC4NCklCLiAgU29sYXIgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBTb2xhciBhY3Rp

dml0eSBpcyBleHBlY3RlZCB0byB2ZXJ5IGxvdw0KZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QgKDEzIC0g

MTUgSnVuZSkgd2l0aCBhIGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgYW4gaXNvbGF0ZWQNCkMtY2xhc3MgZmxhcmUu

DQpJSUEuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBTdW1tYXJ5IDExLzIxMDBaIHRvIDEyLzIx

MDBaOg0KR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGF0IHF1aWV0IHRvIHVuc2V0dGxlZCBs

ZXZlbHMgZHVyaW5nIG1vc3Qgb2YNCnRoZSBwZXJpb2QuIEFuIGFjdGl2ZSBwZXJpb2Qgd2Fz

IG9ic2VydmVkIGF0IEJvdWxkZXIgZHVyaW5nIDEyLzEyMDANCi0gMTUwMFouIEFDRSBzb2xh

ciB3aW5kIGRhdGEgaW5kaWNhdGVkIHRoZSBjb250aW51ZWQgcHJlc2VuY2Ugb2YgYQ0KY29y

b25hbCBob2xlIGhpZ2gtc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtIChDSCBIU1MpIHdpdGggd2luZCBzcGVlZHMg

aW4gdGhlIDQzNg0KdG8gNDg1IGttL3MgcmFuZ2UuIFRoZSBncmVhdGVyIHRoYW4gMTAgTWVW

IHByb3RvbiBmbHV4IGF0DQpnZW9zeW5jaHJvbm91cyBvcmJpdCB3YXMgc2xpZ2h0bHkgZW5o

YW5jZWQsIGxpa2VseSBhc3NvY2lhdGVkIHdpdGgNCnJlY2VudCBhY3Rpdml0eSBpbiBvbGQg

UmVnaW9uIDEyMjYgKFMyMCwgTD0wMzcpLCB3aGljaCBkZXBhcnRlZCB0aGUNCndlc3QgbGlt

YiBvbiAwOSBKdW5lLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBH

ZW9tYWduZXRpYyBhY3Rpdml0eSBpcw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgYXQgcXVpZXQgdG8gdW5z

ZXR0bGVkIGxldmVscyBkdXJpbmcgIGRheXMgMSAtIDIgKDEzIC0NCjE0IEp1bmUpIHdpdGgg

YSBjaGFuY2UgZm9yIGFjdGl2ZSBsZXZlbHMgZHVlIENIIEhTUyBlZmZlY3RzLg0KQWN0aXZp

dHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gZGVjcmVhc2UgdG8gcXVpZXQgbGV2ZWxzIG9uIGRheSAzICgx

NSBKdW5lKQ0KYXMgdGhlIENIIEhTUyBiZWdpbnMgdG8gc3Vic2lkZS4gVGhlcmUgaXMgYSBz

bGlnaHQgY2hhbmNlIGZvciBhDQpncmVhdGVyIHRoYW4gMTAgTWVWIHByb3RvbiBldmVudCBh

dCBnZW9zeW5jaHJvbm91cyBvcmJpdCBvbiBkYXkgMQ0KKDEzIEp1bmUpLg0KSUlJLiAgRXZl

bnQgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGllcyAxMyBKdW4tMTUgSnVuDQpDbGFzcyBNICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpD

bGFzcyBYICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQcm90b24gICAgIDEwLzAxLzAxDQpQQ0FGICAgICAgIGdy

ZWVuDQpJVi4gIFBlbnRpY3RvbiAxMC43IGNtIEZsdXgNCk9ic2VydmVkICAgICAgICAgICAx

MiBKdW4gMDg1DQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgICAxMyBKdW4tMTUgSnVuICAwODQvMDg0LzA4NA0KOTAg

RGF5IE1lYW4gICAgICAgIDEyIEp1biAxMDMNClYuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBIEluZGljZXMN

Ck9ic2VydmVkIEFmci9BcCAxMSBKdW4gIDAxMC8wMTENCkVzdGltYXRlZCBBZnIvQXAgMTIg

SnVuICAwMTAvMDEwDQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDEzIEp1bi0xNSBKdW4gIDAwOC8wMDgt

MDA4LzAwOC0wMDUvMDA1DQpWSS4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEFjdGl2aXR5IFByb2JhYmlsaXRp

ZXMgMTMgSnVuLTE1IEp1bg0KQS4gIE1pZGRsZSBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAg

ICAgICAgICAyMC8xNS8wNQ0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDEwLzA1LzAxDQpNYWpv

ci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDEvMDEvMDENCkIuICBIaWdoIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0aXZl

ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIDI1LzIwLzEwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMTUvMTAv

MDENCk1ham9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KPC9QUkU+PEJSPjxIUj5UaGFu

ayB5b3UgZm9yIHVzaW5nIHRoZSBQcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTZXJ2aWNlLiBJZiB5

b3Ugd291bGQgbGlrZSB0byByZW1vdmUgYSBwcm9kdWN0IHN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBvciB1cGRh

dGUgdGhlIHBlcnNvbmFsIGluZm9ybWF0aW9uIGluIHlvdXIgYWNjb3VudCwgZ28gdG8gdGhl

IDxhIGhyZWY9Imh0dHBzOi8vcHNzLnN3cGMubm9hYS5nb3YiPlByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0

aW9uIFNpdGUuPC9hPiBQbGVhc2UgZG8gbm90IHVzZSB0aGUgZnJvbSBhZGRyZXNzIGZvciBj

b3JyZXNwb25kZW5jZSwgYXMgaXQgaXMgbm90IG1vbml0b3JlZC4gRm9yIGNvbW1lbnRzIG9y

IGhlbHAsIHBsZWFzZSBjb250YWN0IDxhIGhyZWY9Im1haWx0bzpwc3MuaGVscEBub2FhLmdv

diI+U1dQQyBIZWxwLjwvYT48L0JPRFk+PC9IVE1MPg=----boundary_953622_349b7278-9eaa-49b1-8701-53204e49335e--







Read previous mail | Read next mail


 22.07.2019 16:05:48lGo back Go up