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OK0NAG > SOLAR    16.06.11 14:02l 100 Lines 3566 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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_____________________________________________________________________

Solar-activity forecast for the period Jun 17 - 23, 2011

Activity level: low to moderate
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 95-130 f.u.
Flares: weak (5-15/day), middle (1-6/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 45-80

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic,
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Jun 17 to Jun 23


quiet: Jun 17 and 18
quiet to unsettled: Jun 19
unsettled: Jun 22 and 23
active: Jun 20
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: 
   geomagnetic field was quiet on Jun 14 and 15, 
   quiet to unsettled on Jun 12, unsettled on Jun 10,11 and 13.


RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept, Czech Republic

e-mail: geom(at)ig.cas.cz
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

Geomagnetic field during the following solar rotation should be:
         quiet: June 17, 19 - 20, 22, July 1, 3, 5, 7, 12
         mostly quiet: June 18, 21, 23, 27, July 2, 11
         quiet to unsettled: June 26, 28 - 30, July 8 - 10
         quiet to active: June 24 - 25, July 6
         quiet to minor storm: July 4
         quiet to major storm: -
         mostly unsettled: -
         unsettled to active: -
         unsettled to minor storm: -
         active to minor storm: -
         active to major storm: -
         minor to major storm: -

Survey:  quiet: Jun 15
         mostly quiet: -
         quiet to unsettled: Jun 9, 11 - 12, 14
         quiet to active: Jun 7 - 8, 13
         quiet to minor storm: -
         quiet to major storm: -
         mostly unsettled: Jun 10
         unsettled to active: -
         unsettled to minor storm: -
         active to minor storm: -
         active to major storm: -
         minor to major storm: -

   Notices:
        High probability of changes in solar wind which may caused
        changes in magnetosphere and ionosphere is expected about
        June (20,) 21, 23, (24 - 25, 29 - 30,) July (7 - 8,) 13 - 14
        Days in brackets refer to a lower probability of possible
        activity enhancements depending on previous development
        on the Sun.

F. K. Janda (OK1HH)
Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
_____________________________________________________________________





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