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OK0NAG > SOLAR    16.06.11 14:32l 113 Lines 4194 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jun 16 1227 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU167
UGEOA 30512 10616 1130/ 9930/
11162 20162 30162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Jun 2011 until 18 Jun 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jun 2011  10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Solar activity was low with only a few C flare. However,
active region 11234 experienced some growth over the last 24 hours,
active region 11236 is stable but keeps a potential for an isolated M
flare and a new active region is about to cross the East limb. The
latter already produced 2 C flares and a limb CME early on June 16. We

thus predict eruptive conditions with a growing rate for C flares and a

small chance of an M flare. The high-speed solar wind stream has largely

declined over the last 24 hours (vD0km/s). This led to mostly quiet
geomagnetic conditions that should continue for the rest of the 3-day
period, except for a slight chance of a glancing blow from the East-limb

CME of June 14, which could trigger temporary active conditions on June

17.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 038, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10616 1130/ 15///
10054 21020 3008/ 4//// 80002 90280
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 10616 1130/ 16/06 16103
10007 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50210 60026 32615 15000
10010 2//// 3//// 4721/ 50250 60012 15318 03100
10011 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 20827 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 15059 03922 03006 31115 21411 06023 16817 21508 
USSPS 21305 15162 07142 12000 42314 0/101 11014 31716 34426 13047 
16417 44514 
USSPS 81202 16043 05332 00022 12316 21421 02040 35717 21412 
USSPS 31405 16060 07042 07021 32615 34426 10025 15318 23712 11001 
20827 0/102 
UMAGF 31523 10616 ///// 1500/ 1/008 22222 33222 
UCMEO 93001 10614 1713/ 10614 60612 81842 3351/ 169// 323// 40457 
10614 60327 80903 25110 ///// 3212/ 99999 PLAIN 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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