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OK0NAG > SOLAR    19.12.11 00:05l 207 Lines 6750 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2011 Dec 18 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 352 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Dec 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z

to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  The largest flare in the past

24 hours was a C3 at 17/2255Z from Region 1376 (N20W18).  New Region

1381 (S18E19) was also responsible for low level activity.  New

Region 1382 (S18E25) was also assigned.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low during the period.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (19-21

December).

III.  Event Probabilities 19 Dec-21 Dec

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           18 Dec 128

Predicted   19 Dec-21 Dec  128/128/128

90 Day Mean        18 Dec 145

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 17 Dec  002/000

Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Dec  002/001

Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Dec-21 Dec  006/005-005/005-004/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Dec-21 Dec

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/01

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           20/20/05

Major-severe storm    10/10/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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