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OK0NAG > SOLAR    03.01.12 14:52l 123 Lines 4720 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 03 1246 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU003
UGEOA 30512 20103 1224/ 9930/
11032 20032 30032
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 03 Jan 2012 until 05 Jan 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Solar activity in the past 24 hours was limited to a C2.4
flare peaking at 15:24 UT, which originated from behind the western
limb. More C flares are likely to occur within the next 24 hours, with 
a
very slight chance for an M flare. The C2.4 flare was accompanied by a

CME first detected by COR2 A on January 2, 15:42 UT. Based on LASCO,
COR2 A and B images, this CME is not expected to be geo-effective.
ACE solar wind speed increased from about 350 km/s on January 2, 14h UT

to about 450 km/s on January 3, 4h UT. The IMF increased from about 5 to

15 nT in the same period. This is probably the effect of a coronal hole

high speed wind stream. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet and will
likely be quiet to active on January 3 and 4 due to the effects of the

coronal hole high speed wind stream. Quiet conditions are predicted for

January 5.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 074, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20103 1224/ 02///
10111 21350 3004/ 4//// 80606 90620
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 20103 1224/ 03/08 03108
10001 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50280 60014 30117 01000
10002 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50130 60030 20523 15000
10004 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60007 11719 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 474// 50120 60002 17113 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60003 17813 00000
10097 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60002 36018 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4331/ 50070 60016 43309 02000
10099 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50070 60004 31523 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 02088 07932 79005 34914 2/801 81006 30623 21303 82039 
21524 21615 01005 42012 14409 02001 23126 0/101 
USSPS 21305 02173 09832 09001 12720 01202 07012 18513 1/801 05024 
21522 54623 04008 30523 2/801 01003 35219 3/801 08002 42509 01210 
USSPS 81202 03007 10432 70007 42810 11411 66009 35518 21302 68008 
31223 21302 69032 20921 47523 72001 12320 01205 71030 17812 41801 
USSPS 31405 03086 15842 01028 30117 22314 02013 20523 35530 04002 
11719 01207 05012 17113 4/802 06001 17813 0/103 97004 36018 2/902 
98007 43309 31316 99007 31523 22304 
UMAGF 30503 20103 1004/ 02061 1/016 20111 33333 
UMAGF 31523 20103 ///// 0200/ 1/004 20000 31133 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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