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OK0NAG > SOLAR    07.01.12 23:03l 219 Lines 7286 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2012 Jan 07 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 007 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jan 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z

to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24

hours. The largest event of the period was a C2/Sf at 07/0007Z from

Region 1392 (S24W73). Region 1392 and 1393 (N16W30) both showed

growth in areal coverage and magnetic complexity. A CME was observed

in LASCO C2 imagery around 06/2125Z. After analysis,

this CME appears to a farsided event, thus not Earth directed.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

low levels for the next three days (08-10 January).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24

hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain at predominantly quiet levels for the next three

days (08-10 January).

III.  Event Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           07 Jan 141

Predicted   08 Jan-10 Jan  135/135/135

90 Day Mean        07 Jan 145

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jan  006/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jan  004/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  005/005-005/005-004/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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