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OK0NAG > SOLAR    08.01.12 23:06l 229 Lines 7571 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2012 Jan 08 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 008 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jan 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z

to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24

hours. Region 1393 (N16W45) continues to grow in both areal coverage

and magnetic complexity. The largest event of the period was a C4

x-ray event from around the east limb. A non Earth directed CME was

observed in LASCO C2 and C3 imagery around 08/0212Z. Region 1395

(N22E59) was numbered early in the period.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

low levels for the next three days (09-11 January).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

Solar wind characteristics, as measured by the ACE spacecraft,

indicate the continuing effects of a weak coronal hole high-speed

stream.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next three days

(09-11 January).

III.  Event Probabilities 09 Jan-11 Jan

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           08 Jan 136

Predicted   09 Jan-11 Jan  135/135/135

90 Day Mean        08 Jan 145

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jan  005/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jan  004/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jan-11 Jan  004/005-004/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jan-11 Jan

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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