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OK0NAG > SOLAR    03.07.12 14:04l 108 Lines 4100 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 03 1202 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU185
UGEOA 30512 20703 1149/ 9930/
12032 21032 30032
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 03 Jul 2012 until 05 Jul 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jul 2012  10CM FLUX: 168 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jul 2012  10CM FLUX: 174 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jul 2012  10CM FLUX: 178 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar conditions remain at active levels. Two more M-flares
were observed in NOAA AR 1515 (Catania 99) on July 2nd: an M3.8 flare
(peak at 20:07 UT) and an M2.0 flare (peak at 23:56 UT). Many more
(high) C-flares originated in this region and in NOAA AR 1513 (Catania

96). Flaring activity is expected to remain high, with a good chance for

another M-flare from NOAA AR 1515. Coronograph images from the
STEREO/COR2 and SOHO/LASCO instruments show many CME's during the past

days, but none of them are earth-directed. Geomagnetic conditions are
returning to quiet levels as the effects of the coronal hole subside.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 084, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20703 1149/ 02///
1//// 21665 3//// 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
02  1043  1052 1057 S17E08 M5.6 2B   380 II/1                          
 99 1515                     
02  1959  2007 2013 S17W01 M3.8 2B   190 V/3                           
 99 1515                     
02  2349  2356 0003 S16W02 M2.0 SF       CTM/1                         
 99 1515                     
END

UGEOR 30512 20703 1149/ 03/07 03106
10001 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60007 40115 01000
10004 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50130 60015 10919 01000
10095 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 35814 01000
10096 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50220 60023 41217 19200
10098 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 31414 01000
10099 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50560 60063 30115 29500
99999
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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