OpenBCM V1.07b12 (Linux)

Packet Radio Mailbox

IZ3LSV

[San Dona' di P. JN65H]

 Login: GUEST





  
OK0NAG > SOLAR    05.07.12 00:01l 184 Lines 10098 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 47MOK0NAG00E
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<ON4HU<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120704/2200z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye

X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 4 Jul 2012 22:00:45 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.52
X-asg-debug-id: 1341438937-03b3480d810c900001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 04 Jul 2012 22:01:44.0953 (UTC) FILETIME=[99D6BE90:01CD5A30]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.52 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO, HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.168
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.101762Rule breakdown below pts rule name              description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO    Envelope rcpt doesn't match header0.00 HTML_MESSAGE           BOD
Y: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT       RAW: Message text disguised using base64 encoding
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1341438937


----boundary_340163_f61ddb6f-06e5-4ea0-b1a4-abf0b8748cde
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jul 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity increased to high levels. Region 1515
(S17W23) produced an M5/2b flare at 04/0955Z along with occasional
low-level M-class flares including an M2/Sn at 04/0437Z associated
with a 150 sfu Tenflare. Spot and penumbral development was evident
in the leading half of the region and it retained its
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Coronal mass ejections
(CME) were associated with the flare activity in Region 1515, but
the bulk of the ejecta was directed southward, out of the ecliptic
plane. Region 1513 (N17W36) produced an M1/2n flare at 04/1639Z
associated with Types II (estimated shock velocity 807 km/s) and IV
radio sweeps and a 200 sfu Tenflare. This event was also associated
with a CME that may have had an Earthward component, but further
analysis will be required to determine potential geoeffectiveness.
Region 1513 showed no significant changes and retained its
beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Regions 1518 (N09E65) and
1519 (S14E76) rotated into view and were numbered late in the
period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be
moderate through the period (05 - 07 July) with a chance for an
isolated X-class flare from Region 1515.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels with
active periods detected at high latitudes. ACE solar wind data
indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal hole high-speed
stream (CH HSS). Solar wind speeds were in the 463 to 601 km/s range
and IMF Bz was variable in the +6 to -5 nT range. Today's observed
Penticton 10.7 cm flux reading (163 sfu) was flare-enhanced. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during the period (05 -
07 July) with a chance for active levels as the CH HSS gradually
subsides. Recent CME activity from Region 1515 is not expected to
significantly disturb the field.
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
Class M    80/80/80
Class X    25/25/25
Proton     10/10/10
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Jul 163
Predicted   05 Jul-07 Jul  155/160/160
90 Day Mean        04 Jul 121
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul  011/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul  010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul  007/008-009/008-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/25
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           30/15/30
Major-severe storm    30/10/30


Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_340163_f61ddb6f-06e5-4ea0-b1a4-abf0b8748cde
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
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----boundary_340163_f61ddb6f-06e5-4ea0-b1a4-abf0b8748cde--







Read previous mail | Read next mail


 23.07.2019 11:50:08lGo back Go up